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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on November 7?
Resolved No. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 88%
Total Value
$80
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 8 top traders (88%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x55cbdeb2...c346c9
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-november-7-2026-16c