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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 16?
Resolved Yes. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
No 89%
Total Value
$92.29
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
8 of 9 top traders (89%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xafed5b08...dad5a7
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-may-16-2026-13c