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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10?
Resolved Yes. 17% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 17%
Total Value
$300.73
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 6 top traders (17%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcc4b517f...c29572
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-august-10-2026-15c