Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on November 8?

Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

No 50%

Total Value

$80

Combined PnL

-$51.65

Smart Money Signal

No

3 of 9 top traders (33%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No3 traders
Total Value$80
Total Shares80
Combined PnL+$0.08
Yes6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares569
Combined PnL-$51.73
No — 33%Yes — 67%
1D
1DVSBSTD<$100
No

Invested

$80

Value

$80

PnL

+$0.08

Record

97%

59589-1863 (61452)

0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$51.73

Value

—

PnL

-$51.73

Record

21%

929-3491 (4420)

0X
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6881-8137 (15018)

0X
0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

5541-7239 (12780)

0X
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

70%

16761-7351 (24112)

LU
luciebot<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

22%

3337-11823 (15160)

GH
ghorrockCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

24691-18283 (42974)

0X
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

9315-9358 (18673)

0X
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6626-7759 (14385)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x0e66d882...a5150b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-warsaw-on-november-8-2026-1c

Traders in this Market

1D

1DVSBSTD

No — $80

+$0.08
0X

0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0

CTR

Yes — $0

-$51.73
0X

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
0X

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579

No — $0

+$0
0X

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
LU

luciebot

No — $0

+$0
GH

ghorrock

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
0X

0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
0X

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
Trade on Polymarket