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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C or below on November 8?

Resolved No. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

No 50%

Total Value

$100

Combined PnL

-$51.63

Smart Money Signal

No

3 of 8 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No3 traders
Total Value$100
Total Shares100
Combined PnL+$0.1
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares569
Combined PnL-$51.73
No — 38%Yes — 62%
1D
1DVSBSTD
No

Invested

$100

Value

$100

PnL

+$0.1

Record

97%

59589-1863 (61452)

0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$51.73

Value

—

PnL

-$51.73

Record

21%

929-3491 (4420)

0X
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6185-7387 (13572)

0X
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6881-8137 (15018)

0X
0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

5541-7239 (12780)

0X
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

70%

16761-7351 (24112)

LU
luciebot<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

22%

3337-11823 (15160)

0X
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6626-7759 (14385)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x953e1f31...cfefc0
Slug
highest-temperature-in-warsaw-on-november-8-2026-0corbelow

Traders in this Market

1D

1DVSBSTD

No — $100

+$0.1
0X

0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0

CTR

Yes — $0

-$51.73
0X

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
0X

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
0X

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579

No — $0

+$0
0X

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
LU

luciebot

No — $0

+$0
0X

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
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