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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 14?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
Yes 100%
Total Value
$14.32
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
10 of 10 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9d8a6fdb...e9e570
Slug
highest-temperature-in-warsaw-on-november-14-2026-4c