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No
balthazar<$100NoNoYesNo
IstarothCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 27?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$55.43
Combined PnL
$5.46
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$55.43
Total Shares55
Combined PnL+$5.46
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432<$100 | Noavg 90.2¢ | $49.97 | $55.43 | +$5.46 | 61% 1571-1019 (2590) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 53.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20632-13069 (33701) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 87.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6290-5520 (11810) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 17.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13017-9926 (22943) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Noavg 72.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4330-9314 (13644) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 20.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 28% 280-709 (989) |
24
241532532432<$100Invested
$49.97
Value
$55.43
PnL
+$5.46
Record
61%
1571-1019 (2590)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20632-13069 (33701)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6290-5520 (11810)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13017-9926 (22943)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4330-9314 (13644)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
28%
280-709 (989)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf7791458...815580
Slug
highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-october-27-2026-11c