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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on November 5?
Resolved No. 26% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
19
Yes 26%
Total Value
$63.17
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 19 top traders (26%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3382f4f9...63b4d5
Slug
highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-november-5-2026-16c