Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 13?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$33.52
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xe2fa69ac...5f742f
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-september-13-2026-25c