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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?
Resolved No. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 56%
Total Value
$227.04
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 9 top traders (56%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0c12b783...2c145c
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-october-27-2026-20c