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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 20?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Yes 60%
Total Value
$1.9K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 11 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa82ad0a8...a4fe02
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-october-20-2026-27c