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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 11?
Resolved No. 18% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
17
Yes 18%
Total Value
$757.73
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 17 top traders (18%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3046bac0...af8169
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-october-11-2026-25c