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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on November 6?
Resolved No. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
Yes 36%
Total Value
$67.66
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 14 top traders (36%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1eca0eb3...947c98
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-november-6-2026-23c