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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on November 5?
Resolved No. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Yes 82%
Total Value
$0.88
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
9 of 11 top traders (82%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x86a75d9f...4f5e61
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-november-5-2026-12corbelow