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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 13?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
16
Yes 100%
Total Value
$70.32
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
16 of 16 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1412cf8c...95242c
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-november-13-2026-16c