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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 31?
Resolved Yes. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$2.04
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 5 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x69c7a760...6fb78e
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-august-31-2026-27c