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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4?
Resolved Yes. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
17
No 76%
Total Value
$45.64
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
13 of 17 top traders (76%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9ee1455f...239138
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-october-4-2026-30c