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No
balthazar<$100NoNoNoYesNo
IstarothCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on October 30?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 100%
Total Value
$454
Combined PnL
$32.63
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$454
Total Shares454
Combined PnL+$32.63
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 71%Yes — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 92.8¢ | $421.37 | $454 | +$32.63 | 59% 1779-1231 (3010) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 93.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21044-13396 (34440) |
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100 | Noavg 84¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 640-628 (1268) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 93.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6516-5727 (12243) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13663-10453 (24116) |
HI HighTempTation<$100 | Noavg 97.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 99% 1571-4 (1575) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 20% 308-1212 (1520) |
24
241532532432Invested
$421.37
Value
$454
PnL
+$32.63
Record
59%
1779-1231 (3010)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21044-13396 (34440)
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
640-628 (1268)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6516-5727 (12243)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13663-10453 (24116)
HI
HighTempTation<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
99%
1571-4 (1575)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
20%
308-1212 (1520)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd243ae69...fa95a9
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-october-30-2026-24c