Back to Markets
YesYesYesYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 30?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$27.59
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 5 top traders (100%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares379
Combined PnL-$27.59
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.3¢ | $27.6 | — | -$27.59 | 59% 1743-1208 (2951) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1774-1756 (3530) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6484-5687 (12171) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13603-10423 (24026) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 527-2364 (2891) |
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
$27.6
Value
—
PnL
-$27.59
Record
59%
1743-1208 (2951)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1774-1756 (3530)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6484-5687 (12171)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13603-10423 (24026)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
527-2364 (2891)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xb3bf021b...854db8
Slug
highest-temperature-in-taipei-on-october-30-2026-30c