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No
balthazar<$100NoNoYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100YesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 30?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$205.74
Combined PnL
$18.86
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$205.74
Total Shares206
Combined PnL+$18.86
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 90.8¢ | $186.87 | $205.74 | +$18.86 | 59% 1743-1208 (2951) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 85¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20984-13348 (34332) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Noavg 90.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1774-1756 (3530) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13603-10423 (24026) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 527-2364 (2891) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Noavg 90¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 372-296 (668) |
24
241532532432Invested
$186.87
Value
$205.74
PnL
+$18.86
Record
59%
1743-1208 (2951)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20984-13348 (34332)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1774-1756 (3530)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13603-10423 (24026)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
527-2364 (2891)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
372-296 (668)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x36f1023b...392e0e
Slug
highest-temperature-in-taipei-on-october-30-2026-27c