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Yes
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoNoNoYes
IstarothCTR<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?
Resolved Yes. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$142.07
Combined PnL
$69.87
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 7 top traders (29%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$142.07
Total Shares142
Combined PnL+$69.87
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 29%No — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Yesavg 50.7¢ | $72.2 | $142.07 | +$69.87 | 61% 1529-967 (2496) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 18.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20522-12983 (33505) |
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100 | Noavg 18.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 561-524 (1085) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Noavg 39.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6235-5472 (11707) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12909-9833 (22742) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Yesavg 54¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 217-181 (398) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 273-593 (866) |
24
241532532432Invested
$72.2
Value
$142.07
PnL
+$69.87
Record
61%
1529-967 (2496)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20522-12983 (33505)
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
561-524 (1085)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6235-5472 (11707)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12909-9833 (22742)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
217-181 (398)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
273-593 (866)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5839a43c...bcd779
Slug
highest-temperature-in-taipei-on-october-27-2026-27c