Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 4?
Resolved Yes. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
18
No 56%
Total Value
$285.5
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
10 of 18 top traders (56%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x91f987ef...e03c57
Slug
highest-temperature-in-taipei-on-november-4-2026-32c