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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on November 3?

Resolved Yes. 18% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

17

Yes 67%

Total Value

$139.34

Combined PnL

$108.99

Smart Money Signal

Yes

3 of 17 top traders (18%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes3 traders

Total Value$139.34

Total Shares139

Combined PnL+$112.4

No14 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares14

Combined PnL-$3.41

Yes — 18%No — 82%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98	Yes	$130.27	$130.27	+$110.68	42% 779-1075 (1854)
BE berlinskies<$100	Yesavg 76¢	$6.89	$9.07	+$1.73	58% 6280-4536 (10816)
PO PoligarchCTR<$100	Noavg 24.9¢	$3.41	—	-$3.41	53% 9602-8425 (18027)
LucerysCTR<$100	Noavg 60.6¢	—	—	+$0	79% 11953-3142 (15095)
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100	Noavg 21¢	—	—	+$0	60% 11480-7595 (19075)
0X 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100	Noavg 17¢	—	—	+$0	40% 2066-3096 (5162)
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100	Noavg 16.1¢	—	—	+$0	47% 2044-2320 (4364)
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100	Noavg 60.3¢	—	—	+$0	40% 980-1494 (2474)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Noavg 23.5¢	—	—	+$0	58% 18577-13713 (32290)
0X 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579CTR<$100	Noavg 19.7¢	—	—	+$0	39% 974-1548 (2522)
0X 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100	Noavg 60¢	—	—	+$0	40% 1008-1505 (2513)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100	Noavg 3¢	—	—	+$0	20% 2469-9859 (12328)
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293CTR<$100	Noavg 50.8¢	—	—	+$0	47% 1602-1786 (3388)
0X 0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354CTR<$100	Noavg 12¢	—	—	+$0	43% 1325-1779 (3104)
0X 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493<$100	Yesavg 65¢	—	—	+$0	55% 4330-3516 (7846)
0X 0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658CTR<$100	Noavg 12.2¢	—	—	+$0	38% 947-1564 (2511)
LU luciebotCTR<$100	Noavg 21¢	—	—	+$0	30% 2095-4886 (6981)

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98

Invested

$130.27

Value

$130.27

PnL

+$110.68

Record

42%

779-1075 (1854)

berlinskies<$100

Invested

$6.89

Value

$9.07

PnL

+$1.73

Record

58%

6280-4536 (10816)

PoligarchCTR<$100

Invested

$3.41

Value

—

PnL

-$3.41

Record

53%

9602-8425 (18027)

LucerysCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

79%

11953-3142 (15095)

qwen300.fundCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

60%

11480-7595 (19075)

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

40%

2066-3096 (5162)

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

2044-2320 (4364)

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

40%

980-1494 (2474)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

18577-13713 (32290)

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

39%

974-1548 (2522)

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

40%

1008-1505 (2513)

LornaPredictsCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

20%

2469-9859 (12328)

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

1602-1786 (3388)

0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

1325-1779 (3104)

0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

4330-3516 (7846)

0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

38%

947-1564 (2511)

luciebotCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

2095-4886 (6981)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

3 of 17 top traders (18%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe746f6a3...29c76e

Slug

highest-temperature-in-taipei-on-november-3-2026-27c

Traders in this Market

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98

Yes — $130.27

berlinskies

Yes — $9.07

Poligarch

No — $0

Lucerys

No — $0

qwen300.fund

No — $0

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

No — $0

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

No — $0

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

No — $0

ghorrock

No — $0

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579

No — $0

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