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NoYes
Lucerys<$100NoNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C or higher on November 9?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$783.99
Combined PnL
-$10.65
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$783.99
Total Shares784
Combined PnL+$0.98
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares128
Combined PnL-$11.64
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1D 1DVSBSTD | Noavg 99.9¢ | $783.05 | $783.99 | +$0.98 | 97% 59786-1869 (61655) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $11.64 | — | -$11.64 | 22% 3495-12142 (15637) |
Lucerys<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 18729-24498 (43227) |
QW qwen300.fund<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 47657-54243 (101900) |
12 123987456CTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 2958-6851 (9809) |
1D
1DVSBSTDInvested
$783.05
Value
$783.99
PnL
+$0.98
Record
97%
59786-1869 (61655)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$11.64
Value
—
PnL
-$11.64
Record
22%
3495-12142 (15637)
Lucerys<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
18729-24498 (43227)
QW
qwen300.fund<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
47657-54243 (101900)
12
123987456CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
2958-6851 (9809)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf9fb1f7e...859f93
Slug
highest-temperature-in-singapore-on-november-9-2026-37corhigher