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NoYes
Lucerys<$100NoNoNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on November 9?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$600
Combined PnL
-$11.04
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$600
Total Shares600
Combined PnL+$0.6
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares128
Combined PnL-$11.64
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1D 1DVSBSTD | Noavg 99.9¢ | $599.43 | $600 | +$0.6 | 97% 59786-1869 (61655) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $11.64 | — | -$11.64 | 22% 3495-12142 (15637) |
Lucerys<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 18729-24498 (43227) |
QW qwen300.fund<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 47657-54243 (101900) |
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 6200-7414 (13614) |
12 123987456CTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 2958-6851 (9809) |
1D
1DVSBSTDInvested
$599.43
Value
$600
PnL
+$0.6
Record
97%
59786-1869 (61655)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$11.64
Value
—
PnL
-$11.64
Record
22%
3495-12142 (15637)
Lucerys<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
18729-24498 (43227)
QW
qwen300.fund<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
47657-54243 (101900)
0X
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
6200-7414 (13614)
12
123987456CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
2958-6851 (9809)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x11a1cb17...53d9b9
Slug
highest-temperature-in-singapore-on-november-9-2026-36c