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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 4?
Resolved No. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
13
No 85%
Total Value
$373.47
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
11 of 13 top traders (85%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x33c310bf...322d5f
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-october-4-2026-21c