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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 23?
Resolved No. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 25%
Total Value
$923.63
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 8 top traders (25%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x894fd984...a071a5
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-october-23-2026-21c