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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on November 15?
Resolved No. 83.33333333333333% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 83.33333333333333%
Total Value
$77.99
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 8 top traders (83.33333333333333%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x814963e3...0063c6
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-november-15-2026-15c