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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1?

Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

No 50%

Total Value

$2.41

Combined PnL

-$92.59

Smart Money Signal

No

3 of 9 top traders (33%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No3 traders

Total Value$2.41

Total Shares2

Combined PnL+$0.34

Yes6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares192

Combined PnL-$92.93

No — 33%Yes — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100	Noavg 59.2¢	$2.07	$2.41	+$0.34	50% 673-674 (1347)
24 241532532432CTR	Yesavg 48.1¢	$102.02	—	-$92.93	59% 1921-1351 (3272)
balthazar<$100	Noavg 72.7¢	—	—	+$0	61% 21345-13642 (34987)
HE hello.67CTR<$100	Yesavg 37.9¢	—	—	+$0	50% 1908-1873 (3781)
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100	Yesavg 9.5¢	—	—	+$0	53% 6690-5888 (12578)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Yesavg 37.4¢	—	—	+$0	56% 14240-11046 (25286)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100	Yesavg 57¢	—	—	+$0	32% 4495-9638 (14133)
HE HellYeahTrader<$100	Noavg 57¢	—	—	+$0	54% 467-391 (858)
IstarothCTR<$100	Yesavg 39.8¢	—	—	+$0	18% 365-1641 (2006)

0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100

Invested

$2.07

Value

$2.41

PnL

+$0.34

Record

50%

673-674 (1347)

241532532432CTR

Invested

$102.02

Value

—

PnL

-$92.93

Record

59%

1921-1351 (3272)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

21345-13642 (34987)

hello.67CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

1908-1873 (3781)

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

6690-5888 (12578)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

14240-11046 (25286)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4495-9638 (14133)

HellYeahTrader<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

467-391 (858)

IstarothCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

18%

365-1641 (2006)

Smart Money Signal

No

3 of 9 top traders (33%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xb5f1cd5d...9ea870

Slug

highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-november-1-2026-27c

Traders in this Market

0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0

No — $2.41

241532532432

Yes — $0

balthazar

No — $0

hello.67

Yes — $0

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

Yes — $0

ghorrock

Yes — $0

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

Yes — $0

HellYeahTrader

No — $0

Istaroth

Yes — $0

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