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NoYesNoNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on November 7?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$10.18
Combined PnL
-$16.76
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$10.18
Total Shares10
Combined PnL+$0.01
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares326
Combined PnL-$16.77
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100 | No | $10.18 | $10.18 | +$0.01 | 39% 1314-2061 (3375) |
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.1¢ | $16.77 | — | -$16.77 | 39% 900-1436 (2336) |
GO godblessme2026<$100 | No | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 44% 13945-17925 (31870) |
0X 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 38% 2430-3890 (6320) |
MI mildwindow27<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 9808-11964 (21772) |
0X
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100Invested
$10.18
Value
$10.18
PnL
+$0.01
Record
39%
1314-2061 (3375)
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100Invested
$16.77
Value
—
PnL
-$16.77
Record
39%
900-1436 (2336)
GO
godblessme2026<$100Invested
$0
Value
$0
PnL
+$0
Record
44%
13945-17925 (31870)
0X
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
38%
2430-3890 (6320)
MI
mildwindow27<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
9808-11964 (21772)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa48cd576...1b6598
Slug
highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-november-7-2026-53forbelow