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Yes
balthazar<$100YesYesYesNo
Istaroth<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 29?
Resolved Yes. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$31.95
Combined PnL
$27.56
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$31.95
Total Shares32
Combined PnL+$27.56
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 83%No — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432<$100 | Yesavg 24.2¢ | $4.39 | $31.95 | +$27.56 | 59% 1714-1182 (2896) |
balthazar<$100 | Yesavg 43.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20926-13319 (34245) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Yesavg 29.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1744-1729 (3473) |
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98<$100 | Yesavg 21.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 627-714 (1341) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 60.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13427-10262 (23689) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 27.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 21% 295-1083 (1378) |
24
241532532432<$100Invested
$4.39
Value
$31.95
PnL
+$27.56
Record
59%
1714-1182 (2896)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20926-13319 (34245)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1744-1729 (3473)
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
627-714 (1341)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13427-10262 (23689)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
21%
295-1083 (1378)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbf53b9b8...59665f
Slug
highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-october-29-2026-21c