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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or below on November 5?
Resolved No. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 86%
Total Value
$42.93
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 7 top traders (86%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x10bc7765...d75476
Slug
highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-november-5-2026-23corbelow