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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on November 4?
Resolved No. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
20
Yes 65%
Total Value
$289.54
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
13 of 20 top traders (65%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4368e469...a02ebe
Slug
highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-november-4-2026-32c