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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 22?
Resolved Yes. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
No 63%
Total Value
$54.58
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 8 top traders (63%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe57356b3...7fd013
Slug
highest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-october-22-2026-62-63f