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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 8?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 75%
Total Value
$0.45
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 9 top traders (75%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x51128c09...3cbcbe
Slug
highest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-november-8-2026-62-63f