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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on November 6?
Resolved No. 66.66666666666667% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
15
Yes 66.66666666666667%
Total Value
$27.7
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
10 of 15 top traders (66.66666666666667%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4931b094...8ced21
Slug
highest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-november-6-2026-74-75f