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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on November 4?
Resolved No. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
11
No 64%
Total Value
$5.92
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
7 of 11 top traders (64%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x40d50def...19f45b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-november-4-2026-74forhigher