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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 4?
Resolved Yes. 92% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
No 92%
Total Value
$0.01
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
11 of 12 top traders (92%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x75f8cb62...72d563
Slug
highest-temperature-in-qingdao-on-october-4-2026-22c