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Yes
balthazarCTR<$100NoYesNoYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100No
Istaroth<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 30?
Resolved Yes. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$16.29
Combined PnL
$7.76
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$16.29
Total Shares16
Combined PnL+$7.76
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 57%No — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432<$100 | Yesavg 56.1¢ | $8.53 | $16.29 | +$7.76 | 59% 1743-1208 (2951) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 9.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20984-13348 (34332) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Yesavg 56¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1774-1756 (3530) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Noavg 1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6484-5687 (12171) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Yesavg 72.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13603-10423 (24026) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Noavg 2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 527-2364 (2891) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 63.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 21% 300-1148 (1448) |
24
241532532432<$100Invested
$8.53
Value
$16.29
PnL
+$7.76
Record
59%
1743-1208 (2951)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20984-13348 (34332)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1774-1756 (3530)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6484-5687 (12171)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13603-10423 (24026)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
527-2364 (2891)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
21%
300-1148 (1448)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xde051fbd...14bffb
Slug
highest-temperature-in-qingdao-on-october-30-2026-23c