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No
balthazar<$100NoYesNo
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 30?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$380
Combined PnL
$12.43
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$380
Total Shares380
Combined PnL+$12.43
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 96.7¢ | $367.57 | $380 | +$12.43 | 59% 1743-1208 (2951) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 98.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20984-13348 (34332) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6484-5687 (12171) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 95.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13603-10423 (24026) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 527-2364 (2891) |
24
241532532432Invested
$367.57
Value
$380
PnL
+$12.43
Record
59%
1743-1208 (2951)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20984-13348 (34332)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6484-5687 (12171)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13603-10423 (24026)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
527-2364 (2891)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x852b4579...dbb424
Slug
highest-temperature-in-qingdao-on-october-30-2026-21c