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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?
Resolved Yes. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 86%
Total Value
$69.6
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 7 top traders (86%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2de21c3a...a8b0cc
Slug
highest-temperature-in-qingdao-on-october-29-2026-18c