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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 23?
Resolved Yes. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
13
No 77%
Total Value
$161.22
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
10 of 13 top traders (77%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x54d2d304...2b6fd4
Slug
highest-temperature-in-paris-on-october-23-2026-14c