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Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 31?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Oct 31
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$182.7
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes24%
No76%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 IstarothARB<$100 | Noavg 73.5¢ | $209.81 | $182.7 | -$9.51 | 21% 300-1130 (1430) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 73.5¢ | $134.24 | $138.86 | +$4.65 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 27¢ | $49.33 | $43.85 | -$14.16 |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance25.9%
24.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$285.54
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
385.5
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xaa17a06a...75383e
Slug
highest-temperature-in-panama-city-on-october-31-2026-30c