Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 30?

Resolved No. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

No 50%

Total Value

$145.41

Combined PnL

$59.84

Smart Money Signal

No

3 of 8 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No3 traders

Total Value$145.41

Total Shares145

Combined PnL+$63.65

Yes5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares42

Combined PnL-$3.81

No — 38%Yes — 62%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
Istaroth	Noavg 85.5¢	$81.76	$145.41	+$63.65	20% 312-1273 (1585)
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$3.81	—	-$3.81	— 0-10 (10)
balthazar<$100	Noavg 81¢	—	—	+$0	61% 21091-13428 (34519)
HE hello.67CTR<$100	Yesavg 17.6¢	—	—	+$0	50% 1825-1804 (3629)
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100	Yesavg 21.4¢	—	—	+$0	47% 665-744 (1409)
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100	Yesavg 10¢	—	—	+$0	53% 6540-5754 (12294)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Yesavg 10.8¢	—	—	+$0	57% 13766-10533 (24299)
HE HellYeahTrader<$100	Noavg 79.9¢	—	—	+$0	55% 410-333 (743)

Invested

$81.76

Value

$145.41

PnL

+$63.65

Record

20%

312-1273 (1585)

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100

Invested

$3.81

Value

—

PnL

-$3.81

Record

—

0-10 (10)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

21091-13428 (34519)

hello.67CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

1825-1804 (3629)

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

665-744 (1409)

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

6540-5754 (12294)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

13766-10533 (24299)

HellYeahTrader<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

410-333 (743)

Smart Money Signal

No

3 of 8 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID

0xa91cd7cf...a3dcec

Slug

highest-temperature-in-panama-city-on-october-30-2026-29c

Traders in this Market

Istaroth

No — $145.41

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179

Yes — $0

balthazar

No — $0

hello.67

Yes — $0

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98

Yes — $0

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

Yes — $0

ghorrock

Yes — $0

HellYeahTrader

No — $0

Trade on Polymarket