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Yes
balthazar<$100NoYesYesYesNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$3.81
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares42
Combined PnL-$3.81
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 67%No — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $3.81 | — | -$3.81 | — 0-10 (10) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 97.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21091-13428 (34519) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1825-1804 (3629) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 13¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6540-5754 (12294) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13766-10533 (24299) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Noavg 93¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 410-333 (743) |
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100Invested
$3.81
Value
—
PnL
-$3.81
Record
—
0-10 (10)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21091-13428 (34519)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1825-1804 (3629)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6540-5754 (12294)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13766-10533 (24299)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
410-333 (743)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8655bf80...0a0320
Slug
highest-temperature-in-panama-city-on-october-30-2026-28c