Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on November 11?

Resolved No. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Yes 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

-$45.45

Smart Money Signal

Yes

8 of 9 top traders (89%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares355

Combined PnL-$36.28

No1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL-$9.17

Yes — 89%No — 11%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
balthazarCTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$8.99	—	-$8.99	47% 4801-5413 (10214)
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$18.1	—	-$4.35	19% 815-3564 (4379)
Lucerys	Noavg 99.9¢	$101.9	—	-$9.17	37% 3433-5867 (9300)
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$2.41	—	-$2.4	30% 2933-6866 (9799)
AN anothercoinCTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$2.33	—	-$2.31	39% 1382-2182 (3564)
AH aHjCzCTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$0.33	—	-$0.33	25% 1248-3703 (4951)
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$4.91	—	-$4.91	47% 514-584 (1098)
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$11.64	—	-$11.64	59% 1032-732 (1764)
LU luciebotCTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$5.9	—	-$1.36	36% 508-911 (1419)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

$8.99

Value

—

PnL

-$8.99

Record

47%

4801-5413 (10214)

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100

Invested

$18.1

Value

—

PnL

-$4.35

Record

19%

815-3564 (4379)

Invested

$101.9

Value

—

PnL

-$9.17

Record

37%

3433-5867 (9300)

qwen300.fundCTR<$100

Invested

$2.41

Value

—

PnL

-$2.4

Record

30%

2933-6866 (9799)

anothercoinCTR<$100

Invested

$2.33

Value

—

PnL

-$2.31

Record

39%

1382-2182 (3564)

Invested

$0.33

Value

—

PnL

-$0.33

Record

25%

1248-3703 (4951)

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100

Invested

$4.91

Value

—

PnL

-$4.91

Record

47%

514-584 (1098)

0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100

Invested

$11.64

Value

—

PnL

-$11.64

Record

59%

1032-732 (1764)

luciebotCTR<$100

Invested

$5.9

Value

—

PnL

-$1.36

Record

36%

508-911 (1419)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

8 of 9 top traders (89%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xaae2eb22...71cd7b

Slug

highest-temperature-in-panama-city-on-november-11-2026-30c

Traders in this Market

balthazar

Yes — $0

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179

Yes — $0

Lucerys

No — $0

qwen300.fund

Yes — $0

anothercoin

Yes — $0

aHjCz

Yes — $0

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

Yes — $0

0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0

Yes — $0

luciebot

Yes — $0

Trade on Polymarket