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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 29?
Resolved No. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
Yes 90%
Total Value
$27.77
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
9 of 10 top traders (90%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xeb338350...371595
Slug
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-october-29-2026-74-75f