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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20?
Resolved No. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 44%
Total Value
$587.42
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 9 top traders (44%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7bfaea1f...f094f0
Slug
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-october-20-2026-70-71f