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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 12?
Resolved Yes. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
No 73%
Total Value
$28.68
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
8 of 11 top traders (73%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc590e61d...42cd27
Slug
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-october-12-2026-70-71f