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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on November 4?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0.47
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
9 of 9 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9e1e8a5a...ee2843
Slug
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-november-4-2026-80forhigher